Pakistan’s Governance, Economy, and Society: Core Issues and Challenges
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Topic 2 — Key Facts for KPK PMS Core concept: Pakistan is the fifth most populous country in the world with ~240 million people; it faces persistent challenges in human development, governance, and economic stability; despite rich natural resources and strategic location, it struggles with poverty, inequality, and institutional weakness High-yield point: Pakistan’s Human Development Index (HDI) ranking is approximately 161/193 (2022), reflecting low life expectancy (~67 years), low educational attainment (~4.5 mean years of schooling), and low per capita income; the country has one of the world’s largest out-of-school children populations (~22 million) ⚡ Exam tip: The persistent fiscal deficit and low tax-to-GDP ratio (~10%) are core structural challenges; Pakistan’s tax system disproportionately burdens the poor while leaving large sectors untaxed — agricultural income, real estate, and the informal economy; this is frequently tested
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Pakistan’s Demographics and Human Development
Population
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Population (2023) | ~240 million |
| Population growth rate | ~2.4% per year |
| Urban population | ~37% |
| Median age | ~22 years |
| Sex ratio | 106 males per 100 females |
Key Demographic Concerns:
- Rapid population growth strains resources and infrastructure
- Pakistan’s population is projected to reach ~380 million by 2050
- Youth bulge (65% under 30 years) — potential demographic dividend or burden
Health Indicators
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Life expectancy at birth | ~67 years |
| Infant mortality rate | ~55 per 1,000 live births |
| Maternal mortality ratio | ~140 per 100,000 |
| Under-5 mortality | ~65 per 1,000 |
| Total health expenditure | ~3.5% of GDP |
Key Health Challenges:
- The Lady Health Workers Programme: Community health workers providing basic health and family planning services; has been successful but understaffed
- Polio: Pakistan is one of two countries (with Afghanistan) where polio remains endemic; multiple vaccination workers killed in anti-vaccination attacks
- Dengue: Major outbreaks in Punjab and KP
- Tuberculosis: High burden (estimated 600,000 cases per year)
- Child malnutrition: Pakistan has one of the world’s highest rates of child stunting (~38%)
Education
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Literacy rate | ~62% (adult) |
| Male literacy | ~71% |
| Female literacy | ~53% |
| Out-of-school children | ~22 million (6–16 age group) |
| Government education spending | ~2.5% of GDP |
Educational Structure:
- 5 years primary: Ages 5–9
- 3 years middle: Ages 10–12
- 2 years high: Ages 13–14
- 2 years intermediate (FSc/FA): Ages 15–16
- 4 years undergraduate / 2 years master’s: Higher education
Key Educational Issues:
- Public education quality is poor; private schools serve the elite
- The two-nation model: Elite English-medium private schools vs. Urdu-medium government schools
- Madrasa education: Thousands of religious schools; quality control concerns
- Brain drain: Highly educated Pakistanis emigrate in large numbers (doctors, engineers, IT professionals to the Gulf states, UK, Canada, USA)
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Pakistan’s Governance Challenges
The Civil Service
The Civil Service of Pakistan: The legacy of British colonial administration (the Indian Civil Service) persists:
- The civil service is compartmentalised into elite “OG” (Occupational Groups) and lower-tier positions
- Key positions: Provincial Management Service, Police Service, etc.
Problems:
- Political interference in postings and transfers
- Inadequate training and accountability
- Large number of ghost employees (salaries paid to non-existent workers)
- Corruption: Pakistan ranked 140/180 on Transparency International’s Corruption Perceptions Index (2023)
Reform Attempts:
- The Establishment Division’s reforms
- Computerised service records
- e-Governance initiatives in KP and Punjab
The Police System
The Police Order 2002: Pakistan introduced a police reform package that:
- Established Public Safety Commissions (provincial and federal)
- Created the Inspectorate of Prosecutors
- Aimed to make police more accountable
Persistent Issues:
- Police remain under-resourced and under-trained
- Torture and custodial deaths remain common
- The first information report (FIR) system is often manipulated for political purposes
- Police officers are routinely transferred based on political pressure
The Model Police Compounds: Some provinces have attempted to improve police infrastructure through “model police compounds” with modern facilities.
Local Government
The Evolution of Local Government: Pakistan has had multiple local government systems:
- 1979, 1980: Zia’s local government ordinance
- 2001: Musharraf’s District Government System (Nadera Syed)
- 2019: PTI’s local government act for KP
- 2022: The Peshawar High Court struck down the 2019 act
Current Status: The local government in most provinces is in flux. Effective local governance is limited by:
- Lack of financial autonomy
- Provincial governments’ reluctance to devolve power
- Political interference
Pakistan’s Economy
Macro-Economic Indicators
| Indicator | Value (2023–2024) |
|---|---|
| GDP (nominal) | ~$376 billion |
| GDP per capita (nominal) | ~$1,500 |
| GDP growth rate | ~2.4% |
| Inflation | ~28–30% |
| Fiscal deficit | ~5–7% of GDP |
| Tax-to-GDP ratio | ~10% |
| Debt-to-GDP ratio | ~80% |
The Structural Problems
1. Low Tax-to-GDP Ratio: Pakistan’s tax-to-GDP ratio (~10%) is one of the lowest in the world. Compare:
- India: ~11%
- Bangladesh: ~9%
- Sri Lanka: ~13%
Who is not taxed:
- Agricultural income (large landowners exempt)
- Real estate (informal sector)
- Retail businesses (most transactions informal)
- Wealthy individuals
Who bears the burden:
- Salaried individuals (income tax deducted at source)
- Indirect taxes (GST, customs duties — regressive)
2. The Energy Crisis: The circular debt (~Rs. 2.5 trillion) has destabilised the energy sector:
- DISCOs (distribution companies) collect only ~70% of bills
- IPPs (power producers) are not fully paid
- The government borrows to cover the gap
- Load-shedding (power cuts) continues, especially in summer
3. The Debt Crisis: Pakistan’s external debt has grown to approximately $125–130 billion:
- Debt servicing consumes ~50% of federal revenue
- Pakistan has approached the IMF 12+ times
- The most recent IMF programme (2023 Stand-By Arrangement) was $3 billion
4. The Exchange Rate Problem: The Pakistani rupee has depreciated dramatically:
- 2018: ~PKR 125/USD
- 2022: ~PKR 200/USD
- 2024: ~PKR 290/USD
This depreciation increases the cost of imports and external debt servicing.
The Informal Economy
The Informal Economy in Pakistan: Pakistan’s informal economy accounts for an estimated 50–70% of economic activity:
- Unregistered businesses (no tax registration)
- Agricultural transactions (largely cash-based)
- Street vendors and small shops
- Construction labour without formal contracts
Causes:
- High tax rates drive businesses to operate informally
- Regulatory complexity
- Weak enforcement capacity
Solutions:
- Broadening the tax base through better administration
- Reducing GST rates (to reduce the incentive for informalisation)
- Digital record-keeping
Pakistan’s Society
Social Structure
Caste and Feudalism: Pakistan’s feudal system (wadera culture) remains powerful, particularly in Sindh and South Punjab:
- Large landholders (feudals) control the political representation of their tenants
- Tenant farmers often vote as instructed by landlords
- This perpetuates political inequality
The Tribal System in KP and Balochistan:
- In KP (particularly former FATA), tribal elders (khan/tribal chief) hold significant social and political power
- The tribal lashkar (armed tribal force) has historically been used for feuds and against external threats
- The 25th Amendment (merging FATA into KP) has begun to erode tribal structures
The Class Structure: Pakistan has a growing urban middle class (approximately 30–35 million people):
- Concentrated in major cities (Karachi, Lahore, Islamabad, Peshawar)
- Education, business, and government service are the pathways to middle-class status
- The middle class has different political preferences from feudals and the urban poor
Women in Pakistan
Constitutional Rights:
- Article 25: Equality of citizens
- Article 34: Special provisions for women
- Pakistan has ratified CEDAW (Convention on the Elimination of All Forms of Discrimination Against Women)
Persistent Issues:
- Domestic violence: 50–70% of women experience some form of domestic violence
- Honor killings: Vastly underreported; the “honor” defence remains a legal defence
- Workforce participation: ~22% (one of the lowest in the region)
- Educational disparity: Female literacy 53% vs. male 71%
Positive Developments:
- The Women in Distress (Protection) Act (2022)
- The Domestic Violence Bill (KP and Punjab)
- Women in local government (reserved seats)
Minority Rights
The Situation of Religious Minorities: Pakistan has significant religious minorities:
- Christians (~2% of population)
- Hindus (~2% of population)
- Sikhs, Buddhists, Parsis (small communities)
- Ahmadis (~0.2% of population — officially declared non-Muslim in 1974)
The Blasphemy Laws: The blasphemy laws (PPC sections 295-B and 295-C) have been used to target minorities:
- Accusations often arise from personal disputes
- False accusations are difficult to prosecute
- Minimum sentence for 295-C is death (though courts have rarely executed)
The Forced Conversion Issue: Forced conversions of Hindu girls to Islam (particularly in Sindh) have been a growing concern. The Supreme Court has issued notices but the issue remains unresolved.
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